Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e011274755f1ec2c3843b520eab01aab3ce79635a56562a35988c0f6cc6e433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiangsu Dragonsof Jiangsu Dragons, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x887a…c417backed Tianjin Pioneers | 62c | 1,688$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Jiangsu Dragons | 38c | 1,688$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 37c | 1,352$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.75 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Tianjin Pioneers | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 377.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 63c | 287.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 49c | 224.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Jiangsu Dragons | 39c | 190$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Tianjin Pioneers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 50c | 156$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 72c | 114.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tianjin Pioneers | 22c | 95.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tianjin Pioneers | 33c | 79.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 47c | 78.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Jiangsu Dragons | 52c | 76.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 26c | 66.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…5027backed Jiangsu Dragons | 59c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.