NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80932aa73b00415566f0abe0f1d40406b360ab2cd26ab0fa97b14364517ac11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks | 64c | 54,513$34,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,696.44 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 49c | 54,246$26,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,467.39 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Bucks | 67c | 21,173$14,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,916.8 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 64c | 20,799$13,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,368.41 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 29c | 14,235$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.26 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Bucks | 51c | 13,323$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Heat | 61c | 11,774$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.04 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…2373backed Heat | 0c | 10,036$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bucks | 39c | 9,972$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 62c | 9,491$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.12 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 33c | 8,865$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.7 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Heat | 56c | 8,863$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Bucks | 55c | 8,265$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.69 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 34c | 7,608$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.45 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bucks | 78c | 7,468$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.05 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Heat | 70c | 6,993$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Heat | 56c | 6,911$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Heat | 30c | 5,264$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.27 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Bucks | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.97 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bucks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Heat | 37c | 2,900$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.93 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Bucks | 49c | 2,848$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.68 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 51c | 2,602$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.64 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Bucks | 59c | 2,575$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.76 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 48c | 2,526$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Bucks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Heat | 55c | 2,496$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bucks | 32c | 2,484$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.85 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 2c | 2,166$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Heat | 22c | 2,023$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.5 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Bucks | 57c | 1,957$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Bucks | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…814ebacked Heat | 1c | 1,878$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.40per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Heat | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Bucks | 46c | 1,754$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 55c | 1,635$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.5 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Heat | 55c | 1,530$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Heat | 56c | 1,384$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Heat | 57c | 1,281$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Bucks | 45c | 1,280$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Heat | 56c | 1,251$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.39 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Heat | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Bucks | 38c | 1,185$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 33c | 1,146$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.16 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bucks | 54c | 1,134$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 36c | 1,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.1 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks | 41c | 1,100$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.48 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 55c | 1,052$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.84 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Bucks | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.27 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 33c | 1,000$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Bucks | 40c | 1,000$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Bucks | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Bucks | 58c | 924.46$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.64 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Heat | 56c | 910.19$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Bucks | 49c | 906.12$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Heat | 20c | 871.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6626…d25abacked Bucks | 76c | 858.17$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Bucks | 71c | 831.99$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Bucks | 58c | 824.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…eb63backed Bucks | 79c | 822.78$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Bucks | 73c | 802.7$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Bucks | 71c | 789.84$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…5230backed Heat | 66c | 762.97$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b2…2bb9backed Heat | 56c | 714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5d8cbacked Bucks | 43c | 699.95$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucks | 47c | 645.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks | 45c | 625.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Heat | 9c | 605.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Heat | 37c | 580.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…b738backed Bucks | 76c | 579.93$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf217…2463backed Heat | 55c | 557.69$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Heat | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Heat | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Heat | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 60c | 450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Bucks | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Heat | 46c | 445.46$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3d…657dbacked Bucks | 65c | 444.53$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Bucks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…8ce7backed Bucks | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…5511backed Heat | 23c | 435.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Bucks | 36c | 422.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Bucks | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Bucks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Bucks | 31c | 382.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Heat | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bucks | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Heat | 24c | 348.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Bucks | 76c | 340.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…2ba9backed Bucks | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b70abacked Heat | 56c | 320$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed Heat | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Heat | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Bucks | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bucks | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.