NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6825b05a03eafe081840057f3a913938851b90c39c2b862b536928303c17dd18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Hawks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 23c | 25,048$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Rockets | 65c | 14,442$9,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.81 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Hawks | 42c | 13,956$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.78 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockets | 59c | 7,177$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Rockets | 59c | 5,250$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…27c3backed Hawks | 41c | 5,120$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…54b2backed Hawks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks | 41c | 4,409$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…98b8backed Rockets | 60c | 3,550$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…94ccbacked Hawks | 43c | 3,550$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…fefdbacked Rockets | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…4ad8backed Rockets | 59c | 3,220$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Rockets | 58c | 3,126$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.18 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd48…20adbacked Rockets | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hawks | 32c | 2,767$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.29 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Hawks | 25c | 2,499$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks | 35c | 2,498$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.74 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…3fbcbacked Hawks | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…3162backed Hawks | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Rockets | 59c | 2,100$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…31f0backed Rockets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…af15backed Rockets | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…bec8backed Rockets | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Rockets | 59c | 1,672$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Hawks | 41c | 1,670$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Hawks | 31c | 1,616$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Hawks | 23c | 1,515$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.4 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 64c | 1,477$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.09 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Hawks | 37c | 1,329$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.87 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 64c | 1,311$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Hawks | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Hawks | 14c | 1,190$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Rockets | 63c | 1,108$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Hawks | 23c | 1,105$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets | 61c | 1,022$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.82 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Rockets | 65c | 1,015$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.38 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hawks | 30c | 897.06$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 2c | 896.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 60c | 848$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed Hawks | 13c | 784.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Hawks | 46c | 774.63$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Rockets | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Rockets | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Rockets | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Hawks | 40c | 471.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Hawks | 28c | 409.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Hawks | 40c | 395.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 74c | 390.53$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Hawks | 10c | 386.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Hawks | 37c | 360.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks | 36c | 358.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Hawks | 27c | 339.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockets | 60c | 317.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Rockets | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Hawks | 8c | 291.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 34c | 270.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Hawks | 15c | 260.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Hawks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Rockets | 59c | 225$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Hawks | 8c | 222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Rockets | 66c | 220.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…f493backed Hawks | 42c | 218.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rockets | 61c | 209.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Hawks | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Hawks | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Hawks | 41c | 199.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed Hawks | 41c | 195.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Rockets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Rockets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockets | 64c | 160.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Rockets | 61c | 158.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Rockets | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Rockets | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Hawks | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 41c | 141$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Hawks | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Rockets | 61c | 130.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Hawks | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…ce39backed Rockets | 60c | 127.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c36…7b5abacked Hawks | 37c | 126.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…044cbacked Rockets | 60c | 125.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Hawks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Hawks | 41c | 120.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Rockets | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Rockets | 60c | 100.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…2cfdbacked Rockets | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Rockets | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Rockets | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hawks | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Hawks | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Hawks | 15c | 96.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…a5b1backed Rockets | 60c | 93.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hawks | 40c | 87.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…29f7backed Rockets | 59c | 86.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…0153backed Hawks | 42c | 85.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Hawks | 40c | 83.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…448dbacked Hawks | 14c | 83.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…c12bbacked Rockets | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Rocketsthis page
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.