Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1abb01ace659a197a134b7e7738dc4180352ea0e5da6ba275af94acb4d9c5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 10,584$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.1 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,220$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 61c | 4,721$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.57 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 4,262$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.03 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 44c | 3,433$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.6 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,229$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.27 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed No | 64c | 1,602$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Yes | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 1,570$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.92 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,562$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Yes | 35c | 1,426$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,138$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.87 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,068$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 63c | 967$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.79 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 35c | 959.89$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.96 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 66c | 754.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 65c | 561.45$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 62c | 468.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 459.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 35c | 454.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 35c | 454.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 417.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 416.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 43c | 408.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 336.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed No | 67c | 298.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 296.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 62c | 263.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 65c | 231.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 36c | 222.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 27c | 204.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 65c | 177.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 53c | 168.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 163.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 150.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 35c | 139.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 37c | 127.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 127.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 43c | 120.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 65c | 113.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 35c | 113.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 60c | 113.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 112.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 103.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 102.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 29c | 97.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 37c | 92.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 74c | 90.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 37c | 79.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 37c | 76.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 65c | 67.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 62.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 59.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 37c | 52.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 47.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 70c | 47.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 62c | 47.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…a722backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…7b28backed Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Yes | 37c | 27.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 24.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9b…faefbacked Yes | 66c | 22.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 67c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.