MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ca0e423008ca387c8d1d8213f9c3eb57dd5e4f5a66e9595fbee231f8e167a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Orioles, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 51c | 20,927$10,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,254.08 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 49c | 17,000$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 37c | 13,578$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 49c | 12,798$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Brewers | 53c | 11,745$6,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.68 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Brewers | 52c | 6,719$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.64 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 29c | 5,847$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Brewers | 62c | 5,077$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 48c | 4,618$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 48c | 4,122$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.83 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Brewers | 52c | 4,100$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.03 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 48c | 3,705$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Brewers | 57c | 3,519$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 50c | 2,596$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.16 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…b744backed Orioles | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 41c | 2,473$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Orioles | 16c | 2,141$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7e7fbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Brewers | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Brewers | 51c | 2,048$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.52 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Brewers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…70fbbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…e14bbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Orioles | 47c | 1,732$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.14 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Brewers | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,341$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 49c | 1,244$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.96 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Brewers | 52c | 1,202$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 13c | 1,168$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…366fbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…ed6dbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,080$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…15e5backed Brewers | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…2170backed Brewers | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…1a54backed Brewers | 51c | 1,012$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Brewers | 51c | 988$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…64dabacked Brewers | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 51c | 949.92$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Brewers | 51c | 888.96$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.59 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Orioles | 51c | 863.51$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.29 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Orioles | 12c | 743.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 46c | 731.34$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.82 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 16c | 657.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Brewers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Brewers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 62c | 535.54$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.45 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Brewers | 69c | 530.31$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Brewers | 74c | 527.4$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 32c | 508.11$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Brewers | 51c | 484.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 12c | 456$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brewers | 54c | 450.2$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 15c | 426.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked Brewers | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Brewers | 65c | 387.09$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Brewers | 59c | 339.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Brewers | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 58c | 310$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Orioles | 49c | 306.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Orioles | 15c | 299.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 66c | 294.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Brewers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Brewers | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Brewers | 50c | 254.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Brewers | 53c | 226.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 48c | 220.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 76c | 213.25$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…a31dbacked Brewers | 51c | 207$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 53c | 199.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 54c | 185.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…d495backed Orioles | 49c | 177$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 29c | 167.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Orioles | 7c | 159.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Brewers | 52c | 122.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Brewers | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 53c | 113.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Brewers | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…956abacked Orioles | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36df…d282backed Brewers | 52c | 100.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Brewers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…4b45backed Brewers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Orioles | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Orioles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Brewers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…5e06backed Brewers | 52c | 99.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…8238backed Brewers | 54c | 98.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…e0ebbacked Orioles | 49c | 97.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…bc27backed Orioles | 49c | 96.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 52c | 96.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Brewers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Brewers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Brewers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…609dbacked Orioles | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.