Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6639d5bfa8b9c366fcc9e960a47a1cd0523df1e6fba40c4c5b27cbaaab0669aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c67…38cbbacked Yes | 5c | 8,525$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 4,580$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.09 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 3,215$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.02 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,594$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 2,449$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.77 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 64c | 1,750$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.01 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes | 62c | 1,637$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed No | 38c | 1,635$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,036$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 1,028$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.5 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 7c | 729.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes | 27c | 578.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 63c | 500$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 440.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.18 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 63c | 421.61$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 380.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 36c | 358.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 45c | 330.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 30c | 321.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 63c | 316.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 20c | 295.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 246.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 38c | 225.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 63c | 176.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 175.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 37c | 170$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 47c | 155.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 153.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 38c | 142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 56c | 125.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 36c | 97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 36c | 96.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 39c | 89.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 64c | 88.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 39c | 87.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 64c | 86.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 51c | 84.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 65c | 57.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 63c | 50.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…ab51backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Yes | 63c | 36.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 36c | 34.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…76d8backed Yes | 63c | 30.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 65c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Yes | 63c | 20.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…29d9backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.