Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3269429ffb8ac191e3f31f1b9d319d8caea52f66530c2edcba7f9c52677441ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 18,391$6,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 55c | 7,999$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.75 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 4,999$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.58 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked No | 13c | 4,200$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 2,763$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 2,265$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.35 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 40c | 2,157$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.52 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 15c | 2,112$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 1,636$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,141$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 34c | 741.77$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 719.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 35c | 623.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.23 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 504.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 459.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.45 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 30c | 326.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.52 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 308.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 38c | 200.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 29c | 147.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 15c | 142.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 136.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…76d8backed Yes | 52c | 117.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 55c | 63.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 59.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 36c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 45c | 45.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 40c | 41.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 36c | 30.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 67c | 29.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.