NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1ca4cdcf07989c4f69646d4448efaad1828cb24ec1fb0316330053ab1b0746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Penguins | 49c | 40,810$19,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,997.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…06adbacked Penguins | 51c | 21,215$10,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,819.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Islanders | 43c | 17,599$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,020.48 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Islanders | 50c | 16,963$8,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,447.47 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…c86fbacked Islanders | 49c | 10,820$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…8064backed Islanders | 49c | 10,388$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 51c | 7,888$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.8 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 49c | 6,949$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.38 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 60c | 6,866$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Penguins | 50c | 5,981$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Islanders | 46c | 5,386$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.92 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 52c | 4,700$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.5 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Islanders | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Islanders | 54c | 3,880$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.95 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 51c | 3,476$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.76 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Islanders | 41c | 3,250$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Penguins | 32c | 3,024$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.97 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 50c | 2,763$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.59 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 50c | 2,498$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Islanders | 51c | 2,000$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Penguins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,785$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.31 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 48c | 1,778$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.95 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Penguins | 48c | 1,748$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.88 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Islanders | 35c | 1,576$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.54 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Islanders | 51c | 1,521$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.16 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 80c | 1,232$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.74 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Penguins | 12c | 1,111$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Penguins | 49c | 1,095$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.55 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…90d0backed Islanders | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…595fbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Islanders | 70c | 910.35$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.72 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Penguins | 51c | 864.68$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.25 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Islanders | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Islanders | 50c | 782.12$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Penguins | 49c | 633.69$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.51 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Islanders | 49c | 537$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Penguins | 51c | 537$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Penguins | 50c | 455.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Islanders | 51c | 438.69$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 50c | 336.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 28c | 316.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 51c | 312$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Penguins | 52c | 307.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…87e5backed Penguins | 51c | 303.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Penguins | 73c | 274.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…540cbacked Islanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Penguins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…96c7backed Islanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c92…8b80backed Islanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f1…1d66backed Penguins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…6637backed Penguins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…dbfdbacked Penguins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Penguins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…19c4backed Penguins | 17c | 189.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 50c | 165.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 49c | 162.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Penguins | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Penguins | 44c | 144.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Penguins | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Islanders | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…b9f2backed Islanders | 49c | 123.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…33b3backed Penguins | 52c | 115.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Penguins | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…3869backed Islanders | 50c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Islanders | 51c | 99.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…6bf3backed Penguins | 49c | 97.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…bc1fbacked Islanders | 52c | 97.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…e522backed Penguins | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Penguins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…4de7backed Penguins | 49c | 93.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…e612backed Penguins | 49c | 92.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…90e8backed Islanders | 52c | 91.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…790bbacked Islanders | 52c | 91.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…07cdbacked Islanders | 52c | 91.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Islanders | 48c | 87.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…f8abbacked Islanders | 52c | 86.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…4409backed Penguins | 49c | 86.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…646bbacked Penguins | 49c | 83.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…13ecbacked Penguins | 49c | 83.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Islanders | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…cd34backed Penguins | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…0941backed Islanders | 52c | 76.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…6132backed Islanders | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…aea0backed Penguins | 49c | 67.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…dc31backed Islanders | 49c | 67.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…2a8ebacked Islanders | 52c | 62.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Penguins | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 32c | 59.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…a3ccbacked Islanders | 52c | 57.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…7c97backed Islanders | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.