South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24025b141d13264576f324bdbde470b045fdc84a3c70abbbc0ea1d6854cd0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 3,695$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.28 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 3,261$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.56 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,655$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.01 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 921.93$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 65c | 850.65$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.24 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 46c | 712.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.49 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes | 60c | 559.68$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 68c | 549.5$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 30c | 457.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yes | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 32c | 356$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 32c | 304$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 31c | 285.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 268.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…f350backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…ca0ebacked Yes | 45c | 252.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 26c | 227$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 41c | 209$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 71c | 161.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 31c | 159.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…e109backed Yes | 53c | 113.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Yes | 74c | 110.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 50c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 35c | 93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 45c | 92.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed Yes | 57c | 85.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 44c | 75.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 64.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 74c | 58.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 37c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…9724backed Yes | 53c | 48.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 30c | 47.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 40.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…3217backed Yes | 29c | 35.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed No | 55c | 32.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…91c7backed Yes | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed Yes | 77c | 24.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 50c | 20.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 72c | 16.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.