South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf163bff73d97760baccb837fb9a3cfa1029abb4b08b73240dd5ca9024e069859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 15,065$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.02 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 6,085$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.1 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 5,219$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 80c | 3,100$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 80c | 1,963$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.17 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 28c | 1,092$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.61 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 12c | 854.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2866…1176backed Yes | 18c | 619.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 572.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 546$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 14c | 515.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 493$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 12c | 481.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…1f52backed Yes | 38c | 464.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Yes | 24c | 416.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 396.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 348.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 28c | 311$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…dcc1backed Yes | 13c | 300.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f3…b609backed Yes | 21c | 245.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 22c | 229.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 44c | 211.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…da2ebacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…655bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 19c | 190.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…edd2backed Yes | 11c | 176.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 9c | 164.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…ba53backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 14c | 145.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…c007backed Yes | 14c | 142.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 10c | 142$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…51b4backed Yes | 12c | 118.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…830fbacked Yes | 12c | 108.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…490cbacked Yes | 10c | 102.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 17c | 99.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 51c | 97.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 94.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 22c | 92.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 18c | 79.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…ff2fbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.