South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9f817a96a10444fbf882bbe903dcfe358bb56ac2793a1938cfa01efb4d6857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 40c | 8,872$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.9 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 3,476$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.59 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 1,473$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.67 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 77c | 1,091$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.27 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 969.41$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 870.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.01 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 27c | 692.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.33 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 37c | 688.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.91 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 78c | 669.99$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 554.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.41 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 42c | 474.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 12c | 396.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 290.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 283.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 40c | 228$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 23c | 219.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +189.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…eadbbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 52.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 36c | 48.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 45.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…490cbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…1388backed Yes | 64c | 33.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…b05ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…c007backed Yes | 64c | 31.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 59c | 29.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 40c | 28.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 77c | 17.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Juventude end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.