South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec2b28afcd6c11b6df87b3856c88509ad2eb14111d75eb106b4429a19e64838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 2,990$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,492$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,211$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 696.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 315.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…2021backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 155.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 72c | 138.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 137$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 133.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 99.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 75.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 65c | 73.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 60c | 61.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 58.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…09f6backed Yes | 28c | 51.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…6705backed Yes | 29c | 49.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c9…5ce6backed Yes | 28c | 47.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…f2debacked No | 32c | 44.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 73c | 38.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…4cacbacked Yes | 28c | 37.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 28.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed No | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9c0abacked No | 74c | 19.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551f…e1dabacked No | 74c | 19.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…22ecbacked No | 74c | 18.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…db3abacked No | 74c | 17.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18a…fd7bbacked No | 73c | 16.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…35ccbacked No | 74c | 16.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…6c26backed No | 74c | 15.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…5008backed No | 73c | 15.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…9f48backed No | 74c | 15.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…3f83backed No | 74c | 15.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7d09backed No | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9339backed No | 74c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.