South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9df753f77fa0a9264c8756bad7263c34821c24389809a57502edb6c833c8e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 6,100$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 16c | 2,484$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,249$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 770.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 16c | 683.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 15c | 633.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 14c | 361.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 14c | 359.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 8c | 339.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Yes | 15c | 172.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 146.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 14c | 145.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 11c | 132.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 18c | 113.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 15c | 113.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 14c | 111.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 14c | 100.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.