South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82758e549544cf3c2c49b9d231c1e3eaafc1cc2aeaa2101df9a174756605c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,101$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.86 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,751$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,588$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.86 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 66c | 2,264$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.36 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,410$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.76 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 1,363$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.94 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 66c | 979.82$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 35c | 829$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 755.11$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 31c | 706.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 80c | 627.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 65c | 536$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 466.1$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes | 80c | 437.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed No | 61c | 383.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 345.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 60c | 339.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 31c | 308.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 26c | 295.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 23c | 262.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.87 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 34c | 215.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 70c | 214.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 40c | 212$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked No | 66c | 204$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 38c | 197$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 178.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 174$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 167.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 166.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 29c | 161.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 35c | 139.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 43c | 137.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 79c | 136.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 27c | 119.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 57c | 115$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 113.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 35c | 110.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 32c | 109.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 102.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 33c | 75.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 72.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 61.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 42c | 59.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 41c | 58.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 57.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 35c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed No | 67c | 52.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 40c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 49.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…e6d8backed Yes | 78c | 49.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 62c | 45.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 42c | 43.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 32c | 41.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 39.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 52c | 39.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 35c | 38.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 36.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 38c | 34.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 48c | 27.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7638…b60cbacked Yes | 52c | 25.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.