South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8786cfc34feca0b0aeee7ab7089b16205e18f0d0a6acb896436090662d39095d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 5,876$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.96 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 2,507$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.16 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,157$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.46 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,096$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.1 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 1,914$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 21c | 588.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 67c | 586.7$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.66 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 19c | 579.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 50c | 560.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 459.23$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 66c | 452.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes | 20c | 443.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 19c | 285.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 34c | 259.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 52c | 223.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Yes | 20c | 223.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 19c | 219.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 68c | 207.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 199.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 166.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 16c | 149.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 34c | 149.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Yes | 56c | 139.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 137.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 126.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 66c | 123$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 67c | 115.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 103.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 102.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 99.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 98.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 78c | 75.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 64c | 59.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 20c | 56.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 54.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 51.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 51c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 50c | 32.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 78c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 66c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 64c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 69c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…4598backed No | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.