South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed36b4b463f5c1cc73c2c1932db47b2eca11331efa5f8df65e48491fbdd84af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,667$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,854$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 39c | 833.76$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.33 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 64c | 502.32$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 4c | 420.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 361.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…f4d4backed Yes | 4c | 254.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 33c | 232.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 65c | 205.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 29c | 195.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 64c | 175.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 62c | 156.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 35c | 152.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 151$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 64c | 132.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 62c | 100.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 16c | 76.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 50.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 31c | 45.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 44.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 62c | 44.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 42.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 40c | 42.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 62c | 39.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 66c | 34.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked Yes | 35c | 34.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Yes | 31c | 32.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 38c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed No | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e4…ca6abacked No | 62c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 65c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 79c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-02?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.