South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c62c11325f375d47a6335035cbc30a6393bfe5c42f3b7dde7840dad9ef1231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 2,850$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,326$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 24c | 2,107$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.04 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,410$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.93 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 22c | 1,035$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 3c | 994.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed No | 10c | 991.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 950.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.2 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 901.88$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…2bc9backed No | 26c | 763.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 725.84$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 673.56$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 25c | 644.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed No | 26c | 513.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 505.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 25c | 497.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 70c | 457.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.34 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 375.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 34c | 340.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…44dcbacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 33c | 302.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 73c | 291.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 75cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 72c | 290.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 30c | 284.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 23c | 245.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed Yes | 28c | 242.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 24c | 223.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 27c | 157.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 35c | 154.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 66c | 146.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 127.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 34c | 120.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 111$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 101.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f078backed Yes | 32c | 96.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…99f9backed Yes | 62c | 93.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 85.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 84.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 66c | 79.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…eb1bbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 76.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 70.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 29c | 69.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x834a…8dcabacked Yes | 30c | 64.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 69c | 55.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…ce4cbacked Yes | 32c | 52.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed No | 25c | 50.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 52c | 49.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 29c | 49.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 47c | 45.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 24c | 43.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 43.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…6010backed Yes | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 25cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 52c | 41.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 52c | 41.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 34c | 40.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…1821backed Yes | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 27.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Yes | 74c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes | 79c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…086dbacked Yes | 77c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…1b94backed No | 68c | 14.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked No | 70c | 14.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-02?this page
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.