South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1876e2ec456c3e2758ee0eea2fe4e3ab4cd6be767ba3b9cc7764d3477bb4869d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 1,261$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 31c | 1,249$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.33 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,225$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 1,158$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed No | 66c | 822.22$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 738.73$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.17 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 664.83$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 13c | 562$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 21c | 472.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 15c | 358.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 66c | 315.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 78c | 281.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 252.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 213.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 20c | 207.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 21c | 173.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 67c | 149.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 66c | 148.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 18c | 144.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 118.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 36c | 108.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 102.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 67c | 82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 24c | 66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 58.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 35c | 57.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 55.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 53.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 37.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 64c | 34.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 36c | 34.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes | 35c | 31.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 31.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…bff0backed No | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed No | 67c | 22.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 80c | 17.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 65c | 15.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-16?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.