South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409393f75c8d1911654fa31bf3bb66f97dd9a839bded70339246fa3093071add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,081$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 42c | 1,477$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 44c | 1,369$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…df71backed Yes | 11c | 513.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 500$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 481.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.69 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 456.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 418.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 398.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 371.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed No | 57c | 319.7$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 58c | 277.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 234.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 167.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 125.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 117.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 42c | 101.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 100.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 62c | 96.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 40c | 69.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 64.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed No | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 43c | 54.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…119ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 31c | 34.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Yes | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Yes | 77c | 17.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-16?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-16?No won
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.