South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3b3ed6a717ee13f51f800411b568e9b238ddbd152b50b310f16526ca4fc0e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,124 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 7,674$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 4,938$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.16 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 4,108$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 68c | 2,861$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 1,478$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 11c | 882.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 841.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 763.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 424.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 25c | 362.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 340.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 287.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 273.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 242.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 227.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 16c | 203.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 173.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 172.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 169.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 134.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 131.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 130.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…3d43backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 17c | 75.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 68c | 69.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 71c | 67.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 68c | 66.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 27c | 60.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 22c | 57.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 67c | 55.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 43.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…058bbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 39.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 38.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 30c | 37.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 72c | 30.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 22.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 71c | 17.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-16?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.