Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5bda709a6027d9870ce1aec653f788148defe466307e2f9681cccf256a719d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof IU Indy Jaguars, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars | 42c | 3,381$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 2,782$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 10c | 1,765$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 1,042$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.28 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed IU Indy Jaguars | 13c | 752$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 670.14$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 66c | 615.17$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IU Indy Jaguars | 15c | 532.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…122ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 9c | 531.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 79c | 503.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 464.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 440.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 68c | 421.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed IU Indy Jaguars | 49c | 408.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 375.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 17c | 236.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 219.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 154$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 110.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed IU Indy Jaguars | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed IU Indy Jaguars | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 80c | 33.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…37d8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…1555backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Northern Kentucky Norsethis page
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 177.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.