Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ad9bc025464b5909a1fcb5a1c7fd8179827fd7f324efe8315ae51141753a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 4,664$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 21c | 3,693$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.33 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 3,050$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.45 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…c371backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 1c | 2,522$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 76c | 1,438$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.49 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 76c | 1,067$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 999.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 978.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 15c | 822.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 79c | 695.17$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…013bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 75c | 633.13$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 396.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…d4ddbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 8c | 392.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 21c | 317.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 291.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 15c | 274.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 220.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 68c | 203$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…df86backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 198.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 17c | 194$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 170.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 21c | 142.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 8c | 129.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 100.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 15c | 99.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 34c | 86.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 70c | 45.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 39c | 27.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyesthis page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5Under won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-18.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.