Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc915b149f0ccbd1402835f4d171bd06a76db582d73c78532a678b1ac97ce1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 57c | 439,889$248,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,607.35 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 44c | 393,538$171,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,348.01 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 22,500$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 20,139$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,479.16 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 15,168$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.05 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 57c | 12,974$7,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,365.18 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 4,441$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.39 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 3,397$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 3,255$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 2,400$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.99 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 51c | 1,948$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,755$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 44c | 1,734$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.24 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 46c | 907.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Under | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 44c | 704$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Over | 52c | 434.61$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 403.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 56c | 323.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 44c | 275.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 221.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Over | 50c | 201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 64c | 140.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Over | 57c | 129.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 75.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 44c | 58.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 46c | 58.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 48.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 35.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 45c | 33.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 55c | 31.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-18.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.