Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2cd38542416d75b1451af1ac58cb966e1c8807a313c6631256af5c6ccdf950a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 285,296$122,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,618.81 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 57c | 200,000$113,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,996.53 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 57c | 85,000$48,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,449.1 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 22,500$10,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,924.98 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 14,823$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,856.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 55c | 1,770$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,586$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.58 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 44c | 566.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.51 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 428.73$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.23 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 57c | 393.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 376.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 41c | 230.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Over | 59c | 230.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 47c | 200.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 149.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 57c | 145.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 124.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 30c | 81.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 50.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 57c | 45.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 42c | 44.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 57c | 42.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 57c | 40.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Over | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 57c | 28.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 47c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Over | 57c | 20.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-18.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.