TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No5c93,436$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,790.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c18,906$9,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,875.6235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes35c14,250$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,262.53036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes38c7,874$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,907.752040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88da…d50cbacked No1c7,394$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed No0c7,076$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305756.1%32 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes35c5,353$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.3186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Yes34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed Yes77c3,801$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.962138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes48c3,582$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.4529343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No64c2,800$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.9412451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes77c2,654$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1526330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes36c2,639$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.896240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dae…18b4backed Yes68c2,513$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.762050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes49c2,423$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.6319252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c2,412$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.861,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c2,314$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No52c2,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503132.3%10 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+71.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c8e…c91bbacked Yes59c1,996$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes35c1,942$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.063943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No64c1,628$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.914353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes35c1,368$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.210558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed No62c1,203$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c1,092$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8923738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.959547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No66c1,000$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6553339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66021444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No64c999.98$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c937.98$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.422,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No32c784.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.122634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes36c704.85$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.715334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9579…86ebbacked Yes53c703.03$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.443221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x018d…4fdabacked Yes36c684.21$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No56c657$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.129145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Yes70c645.85$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.762634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c637.21$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No20c614$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.822656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No64c565.23$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.758359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No30c558.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.889845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.565230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No50c549$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.745040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c508.17$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c469.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.191,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes34c445.88$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.282133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes72c438.65$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8210748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes59c418.63$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.892060%12 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6731554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No49c392.6$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Yes58c368.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ee…8085backed Yes57c351.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes48c345$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.731136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e89…c2d9backed Yes62c342.85$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1929463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755149%25 W · 26 L+13.7wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+416.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes48c295.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Yes39c285.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…75d7backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3374…642bbacked Yes36c276.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.923644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…049ebacked Yes36c275$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No45c273.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.444247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No66c273$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.634645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Yes42c272.8$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked Yes73c263.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.127100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+108.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x20ca…e25abacked Yes76c262$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14b…91cabacked Yes47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…3803backed Yes39c238.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked No25c238.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.332934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes36c222.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2212257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7278…734abacked Yes54c222.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Yes59c213.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes34c199.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No54c199.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8616833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes36c180.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.413737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf6…2e3fbacked Yes36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes68c164.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.577058.6%41 W · 29 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes36c162$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6814860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de5…1c4cbacked Yes34c161.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked No20c151.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Yes78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb1…3cd0backed Yes39c150$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Yes68c147.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x120e…93f0backed Yes69c145.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.861855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes59c141.68$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0910535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No32c141.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No32c137$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.483050%15 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No40c133.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.348855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe092…477cbacked No63c131.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes78c128.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.436066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes36c127.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6720227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e22…3f79backed Yes47c122.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.651764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No43c116.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.