Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bea15a7d1748855fbc6ce81cf024874edbbcceec819511308f2d32531615532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Elon Phoenix, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elon Phoenix | 11c | 3,772$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Elon Phoenix | 80c | 2,817$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.88 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Elon Phoenix | 2c | 2,136$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 59c | 1,816$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Elon Phoenix | 19c | 1,729$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 79c | 1,598$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 72c | 1,436$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Elon Phoenix | 9c | 1,323$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 59c | 1,210$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.16 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Elon Phoenix | 40c | 1,203$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Elon Phoenix | 3c | 1,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Elon Phoenix | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Elon Phoenix | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix | 49c | 666.16$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 642.42$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Elon Phoenix | 44c | 562.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 496.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Elon Phoenix | 48c | 483.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Elon Phoenix | 38c | 479.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Elon Phoenix | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Elon Phoenix | 21c | 303.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Elon Phoenix | 7c | 294.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 245$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Elon Phoenix | 45c | 228.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elon Phoenix | 21c | 213.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 8c | 195.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 55c | 195.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elon Phoenix | 55c | 168.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 55c | 163$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 62c | 150.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Elon Phoenix | 16c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 149$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 140.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Elon Phoenix | 23c | 139.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Elon Phoenix | 15c | 126.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Elon Phoenix | 43c | 113.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Elon Phoenix | 10c | 99.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Elon Phoenix | 17c | 99.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Elon Phoenix | 37c | 94.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Elon Phoenix | 45c | 89.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Elon Phoenix | 25c | 80.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 59c | 73.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…12c4backed Elon Phoenix | 22c | 67.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elon Phoenix | 68c | 63.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Elon Phoenix | 44c | 63.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Elon Phoenix | 45c | 62.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 70c | 59.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 63c | 56.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 62c | 54.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Elon Phoenix | 35c | 52.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 36c | 50.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Elon Phoenix | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 41.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…7a79backed Elon Phoenix | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…2c29backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 67c | 32.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Elon Phoenix | 36c | 31.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 43c | 29.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Elon Phoenix | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesthis page
- Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 156.5Over won
- Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 158.5Over won
- Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-13.5)Elon Phoenix won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-14.5)Elon Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.