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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Weber State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazersof Utah Tech Trailblazers, Weber State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Utah Tech Trailblazers52c2,704$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.983,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Weber State Wildcats56c2,074$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.167758.4%45 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Weber State Wildcats2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Weber State Wildcats46c1,940$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd45b…58f5backed Utah Tech Trailblazers52c1,906$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.086100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers31c700$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48329444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Weber State Wildcats69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Weber State Wildcats38c275.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.291,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Utah Tech Trailblazers42c249.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4412642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Weber State Wildcats38c242.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.261,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Weber State Wildcats29c238.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.793,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers60c203$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.141,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Weber State Wildcats29c174.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.664042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Weber State Wildcats39c156$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.331,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Weber State Wildcats53c135.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Weber State Wildcats41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Weber State Wildcats58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Weber State Wildcats24c78.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Weber State Wildcats68c69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.924348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Weber State Wildcats68c64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.527349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Weber State Wildcats69c42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9849043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e06…5a9bbacked Weber State Wildcats56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+144.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Weber State Wildcats62c27.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers63c23.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.755750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Utah Tech Trailblazers79c21.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5448462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Weber State Wildcats55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Weber State Wildcats56c18.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Weber State Wildcats73c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.145149%25 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.