Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Liberty Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe939063deb0d8662e0808bf1bef268ace3b1ad54b128debd27e1e590d888d229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Kennesaw State Owls, Liberty Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liberty Flames | 77c | 2,256$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 9c | 1,584$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kennesaw State Owls | 17c | 1,251$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty Flames | 77c | 922.99$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kennesaw State Owls | 9c | 889.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 23c | 773.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Kennesaw State Owls | 28c | 707.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Liberty Flames | 76c | 600$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 22c | 327$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kennesaw State Owls | 25c | 293$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kennesaw State Owls | 20c | 280.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Kennesaw State Owls | 24c | 210.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kennesaw State Owls | 24c | 199$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Liberty Flames | 79c | 177.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kennesaw State Owls | 15c | 128.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Kennesaw State Owls | 21c | 113.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Kennesaw State Owls | 24c | 83.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 21c | 79.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 21c | 73.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Kennesaw State Owls | 19c | 64.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Liberty Flames | 76c | 63.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Liberty Flames | 71c | 61.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 60.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liberty Flames | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liberty Flames | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Liberty Flames | 72c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…84aabacked Liberty Flames | 77c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.