Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7909b2bc25b1b0a5dc923daebc98e4f5b407a44e2f0706287702ec37bec6c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 30c | 3,365$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.88 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 1,625$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.26 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 1,306$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.31 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 64c | 839.86$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 48c | 833.09$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 28c | 482.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.79 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 248$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 15c | 188.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 41c | 166.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 148.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 109$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 103$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 63c | 86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 66.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 24c | 56.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…9d4dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 55.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 53.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 24c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 26c | 40.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 36c | 32.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 21.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 16.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.