Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a70b40e372cfc686d52eaabf84e565674417720160af9fd002af5f0b06be1ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 5,480$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 2,860$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.05 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…a8b6backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 2,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 2,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 1,355$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 1,282$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 1,030$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.03 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 826.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 809.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 780.23$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 535$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 500.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 395$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 350.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 333.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 302.36$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Rune Eaters | 7c | 227.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 168.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 155$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 149.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 136.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 112.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 80.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 35.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3)BetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.