Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb93f84b74eb9906d0b91d1ca1b2a1bc8cd1c2cd173a5cae4aff42747bc80a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 5,400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 3,271$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.41 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 3,270$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.75 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,583$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 808.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…a8b6backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 770.93$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 655.23$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 624.62$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 233.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 160.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 112.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 99.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 53.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 31.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3)BetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.