Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc704c006b9a6fb317f8d5ef515d65d8ca1742a18ff29636741d25e2bd0078c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof USC Upstate Spartans, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 7c | 2,624$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed USC Upstate Spartans | 25c | 490$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 326$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 206$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 78c | 158.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Upstate Spartans | 12c | 123.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed USC Upstate Spartans | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed USC Upstate Spartans | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Upstate Spartans vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.