Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a71db401c409e8ab3c5e90b2d3277b0e8ef94efa8f25b36e06f8d1739f1caf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 4,368$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,975$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 50c | 2,286$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.92 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked No | 79c | 1,547$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 56c | 1,500$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,249$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 10c | 899.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 10c | 770$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 753.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 634.6$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 8c | 383.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 364.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 49c | 266.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 223.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 215.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 66c | 187.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 9c | 182$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Yes | 9c | 140.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 138.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 66c | 129.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 9c | 118.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed No | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 71.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed No | 57c | 38.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.