Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93797a3314df81f77d3716f965443b35cc2f073351c8f038c4603f16f6b7cdb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 77c | 3,930$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 3,692$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.52 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 34c | 1,458$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 1,348$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.38 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 8c | 1,193$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 1,181$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Yes | 66c | 984.77$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 786.32$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.38 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 67c | 769.13$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.32 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 693.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.39 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 25c | 499.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 34c | 445.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…ae42backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 355.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 26c | 354$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 67c | 352.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 66c | 351.55$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 288.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 251.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 28c | 249.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 144.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 26c | 143.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 136.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 17c | 128.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed No | 24c | 89.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…428bbacked Yes | 24c | 86.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 78.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d18bbacked Yes | 16c | 72.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 71.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 32c | 70.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…21fbbacked Yes | 18c | 66.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes | 68c | 66.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed No | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 75c | 53.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 47.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 26c | 47.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 72c | 41.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 67c | 37.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 67c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…6b25backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed Yes | 70c | 28.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 75c | 26.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed No | 61c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 59c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 75c | 18.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.