TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Niagara Purple Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Niagara Purple Eaglesof Canisius Golden Griffins, Niagara Purple Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c2,758$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.582,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canisius Golden Griffins33c1,938$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.593,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles57c1,749$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c1,474$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9411354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Canisius Golden Griffins27c1,015$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.081,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canisius Golden Griffins17c994.81$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Niagara Purple Eagles56c987$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Canisius Golden Griffins35c849.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Canisius Golden Griffins7c730$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.51,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins44c675$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles75c604.58$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.915,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins42c414.85$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Niagara Purple Eagles78c410$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.87272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Niagara Purple Eagles79c391.86$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.433956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Niagara Purple Eagles58c268.9$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.941,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Canisius Golden Griffins16c256.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.054,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Canisius Golden Griffins43c233.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c213.69$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8944549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c203.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.48055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c191.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Niagara Purple Eagles75c167$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Niagara Purple Eagles59c147$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.161,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins28c133.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Canisius Golden Griffins42c133.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8631537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Canisius Golden Griffins43c128.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.226538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles74c108.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4818167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins10c107.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4214151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Niagara Purple Eagles61c99.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Niagara Purple Eagles67c79.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.141,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x283c…d7b1backed Canisius Golden Griffins24c70.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c61.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.062,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Canisius Golden Griffins34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked Canisius Golden Griffins42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles58c54.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5624340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Niagara Purple Eagles71c51.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.063,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Canisius Golden Griffins33c50.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Canisius Golden Griffins39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Canisius Golden Griffins41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Canisius Golden Griffins30c39.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Canisius Golden Griffins42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.285543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…2055backed Niagara Purple Eagles61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c30.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Canisius Golden Griffins43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Canisius Golden Griffins36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Niagara Purple Eagles61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8214244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.192552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Canisius Golden Griffins42c28.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.836451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.044,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c27.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.631788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Canisius Golden Griffins45c23.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6721651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…3b02backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c23.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Niagara Purple Eagles57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Niagara Purple Eagles58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.440849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…4f16backed Niagara Purple Eagles59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Niagara Purple Eagles75c17.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.296956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.