Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc39871419e541c273a43f533e438514b13561551f5576d24e91f3829cc43440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niagara Purple Eaglesof Niagara Purple Eagles, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 53c | 1,897$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.16 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 999.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.79 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 47c | 971.73$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 843$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 48c | 122.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 47c | 44.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 53c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 54c | 21.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)this page
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Niagara Purple EaglesNiagara Purple Eagles won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 126.5Under won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 127.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.