TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim Red Forceof Dplus KIA, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5388…4d5abacked Nongshim Red Force71c11,661$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,360.0619041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim Red Force48c10,889$5,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,641.041,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Nongshim Red Force37c9,371$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.133740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked Dplus KIA46c8,014$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.441723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dplus KIA67c7,483$5,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,027.3485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Nongshim Red Force78c5,635$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.613852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Dplus KIA78c4,729$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.8610048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Nongshim Red Force66c4,021$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.123657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA50c3,707$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.731,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Dplus KIA55c3,595$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.6826246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Dplus KIA63c3,333$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.7981143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Nongshim Red Force24c3,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28031036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Dplus KIA72c2,997$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.653366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Nongshim Red Force40c2,599$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.5128746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked Nongshim Red Force47c2,580$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Dplus KIA66c2,505$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.5613543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Dplus KIA52c2,500$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.9929536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Nongshim Red Force34c2,330$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Nongshim Red Force22c2,237$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.5442050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2abb…aeccbacked Nongshim Red Force69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6204250%21 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Nongshim Red Force20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60024750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Dplus KIA61c1,960$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.4121060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Nongshim Red Force35c1,900$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.9978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Nongshim Red Force26c1,800$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Dplus KIA21c1,720$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3944738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Dplus KIA3c1,540$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Nongshim Red Force48c1,361$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.721,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA53c1,335$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.922,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Dplus KIA58c1,108$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.66850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Dplus KIA79c1,083$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.7850569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9750…7956backed Dplus KIA42c1,006$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5817466.1%115 W · 59 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Dplus KIA2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204311.6%5 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force30c999.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…caa9backed Nongshim Red Force39c990.35$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Dplus KIA23c941$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.438438.1%32 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Dplus KIA66c913.89$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Dplus KIA62c900$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55875738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Nongshim Red Force34c875.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.610044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Dplus KIA62c858.78$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.4470162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Nongshim Red Force36c850.46$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7912132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Dplus KIA8c795.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4814338.5%55 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f48…218cbacked Dplus KIA61c737.44$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Nongshim Red Force68c736.63$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.722653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…501ebacked Dplus KIA39c613.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408657%49 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked Nongshim Red Force22c550$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4291457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+77.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Dplus KIA53c513.13$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1534631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Nongshim Red Force27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36523624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Dplus KIA50c499.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nongshim Red Force39c492.11$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.331,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Dplus KIA61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Dplus KIA32c476.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.075337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Dplus KIA67c445.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Dplus KIA5c428.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7297…2108backed Nongshim Red Force61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Dplus KIA60c378.33$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Dplus KIA57c337.79$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.567544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Dplus KIA60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Dplus KIA5c324.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7589810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Dplus KIA63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013853.6%74 W · 64 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Nongshim Red Force34c316.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4523751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked Nongshim Red Force18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.39per pick32cpaid+310.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nongshim Red Force33c298.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Nongshim Red Force71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6921965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Dplus KIA79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed Nongshim Red Force43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Nongshim Red Force24c209.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+75.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Dplus KIA77c207$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1626754.7%146 W · 121 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dplus KIA57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3470443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Dplus KIA65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1850643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80f…4fa0backed Dplus KIA50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Nongshim Red Force35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13012450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Nongshim Red Force68c194.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.674045%18 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dplus KIA47c185.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2554054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4c29backed Dplus KIA61c185.25$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.099268.5%63 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Nongshim Red Force27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Dplus KIA60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.232457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Dplus KIA64c157.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.715854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Dplus KIA53c142.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.339157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Dplus KIA72c139.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Nongshim Red Force49c136.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.835152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Nongshim Red Force33c134.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6129236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…ad71backed Nongshim Red Force75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332875%21 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0454…ba0fbacked Nongshim Red Force23c129.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Nongshim Red Force31c126.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.627030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed Dplus KIA49c102.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.26650%33 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Nongshim Red Force41c101.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8861849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed Dplus KIA65c101.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3712364.2%79 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Nongshim Red Force59c100.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.031,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Dplus KIA58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588643%37 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Dplus KIA75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515341.8%64 W · 89 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…0723backed Nongshim Red Force36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Dplus KIA67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6718046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Nongshim Red Force65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ec…0c19backed Dplus KIA53c95.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed Dplus KIA39c90.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Dplus KIA19c89.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…16f0backed Dplus KIA75c86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Dplus KIA44c84.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711762.4%73 W · 44 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Dplus KIA59c82.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.