CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6398ab2299f553b8b3563812e90bd9315d311ef728f88d1ce4164ec19cf31a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof ARCRED, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 41c | 30,478$12,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,908.24 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed ARCRED | 76c | 15,938$12,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,177.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked ARCRED | 58c | 9,740$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.1 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked WW Team | 48c | 6,296$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.51 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed ARCRED | 58c | 6,227$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.05 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed ARCRED | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WW Team | 52c | 4,494$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.84 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 50c | 3,675$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.99 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed ARCRED | 53c | 3,627$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.92 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked ARCRED | 39c | 2,479$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ARCRED | 49c | 2,022$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.49 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked WW Team | 43c | 2,007$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed ARCRED | 56c | 1,798$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed WW Team | 43c | 1,633$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.31 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ARCRED | 49c | 1,560$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.09 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WW Team | 47c | 1,544$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.44 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked WW Team | 61c | 1,403$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed ARCRED | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed WW Team | 37c | 1,257$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.2 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed ARCRED | 15c | 1,166$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WW Team | 58c | 1,091$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.66 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WW Team | 40c | 1,087$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.35 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked WW Team | 55c | 1,085$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.96 | 156 | 58.3%91 W · 65 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked ARCRED | 56c | 1,084$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.59 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ARCRED | 37c | 1,056$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.42 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ARCRED | 56c | 1,028$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.91 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WW Team | 52c | 999.41$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.94 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 55c | 906.14$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 48c | 875.4$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.32 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 42c | 873.36$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.91 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed WW Team | 38c | 800.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed WW Team | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed ARCRED | 66c | 763.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed ARCRED | 56c | 712.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…7260backed ARCRED | 43c | 711.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed WW Team | 49c | 705.56$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.1 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ARCRED | 53c | 657.07$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.25 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ARCRED | 37c | 590.08$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed WW Team | 44c | 572.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.35 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed WW Team | 46c | 559.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ARCRED | 40c | 517.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed ARCRED | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed WW Team | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ARCRED | 49c | 472.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ARCRED | 46c | 467.57$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…2c72backed ARCRED | 69c | 457.26$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed ARCRED | 71c | 422.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…6c15backed ARCRED | 46c | 421.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed ARCRED | 44c | 416$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ARCRED | 50c | 367.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked WW Team | 43c | 348.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed WW Team | 41c | 345.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ARCRED | 52c | 343.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed WW Team | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed ARCRED | 48c | 329.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed ARCRED | 62c | 322.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ARCRED | 59c | 314.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed ARCRED | 62c | 313.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…ecd4backed WW Team | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed WW Team | 41c | 306.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WW Team | 47c | 301.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed WW Team | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed ARCRED | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed WW Team | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…22e9backed ARCRED | 78c | 257.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed ARCRED | 60c | 257.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed WW Team | 45c | 254$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…7fd3backed WW Team | 41c | 252.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed ARCRED | 46c | 252.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed ARCRED | 60c | 249.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ARCRED | 62c | 248.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ARCRED | 59c | 243.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ARCRED | 55c | 230$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed ARCRED | 31c | 224.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…5277backed WW Team | 37c | 218.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ARCRED | 60c | 216.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed WW Team | 47c | 211.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked WW Team | 50c | 207.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ARCRED | 50c | 206.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked ARCRED | 56c | 196.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ARCRED | 44c | 188.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed ARCRED | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked ARCRED | 56c | 177.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed ARCRED | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed ARCRED | 40c | 174.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 229 | 40.2%92 W · 137 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…5416backed ARCRED | 52c | 169.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ARCRED | 44c | 167.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WW Team | 41c | 166$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…9120backed ARCRED | 62c | 161.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed WW Team | 39c | 159.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WW Team | 47c | 155.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed WW Team | 49c | 150.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed WW Team | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ARCRED | 55c | 145.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked ARCRED | 40c | 144.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked WW Team | 66c | 141.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed WW Team | 49c | 141$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed ARCRED | 68c | 140.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -20.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed ARCRED | 53c | 140.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ARCRED | 56c | 139.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerARCRED won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ARC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)WW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.