CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7918497bd8c5b456c4431ab9d15d44ffb845c0c557ede6de05a3fae8468acea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed ARCRED | 72c | 4,508$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.98 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed WW Team | 4c | 4,048$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed WW Team | 33c | 2,991$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WW Team | 38c | 2,695$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 29c | 2,226$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ARCRED | 72c | 1,469$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.08 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WW Team | 34c | 1,390$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.18 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WW Team | 35c | 1,234$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.54 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ARCRED | 76c | 1,124$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ARCRED | 53c | 934.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.44 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 24c | 838.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed ARCRED | 63c | 780.43$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.76 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed WW Team | 36c | 619.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed WW Team | 37c | 541.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed WW Team | 28c | 533.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked ARCRED | 70c | 487.51$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ARCRED | 68c | 407.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ARCRED | 77c | 368.09$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ARCRED | 63c | 335.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed ARCRED | 67c | 296.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 27c | 294.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed WW Team | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed WW Team | 35c | 252$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked WW Team | 35c | 245$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed ARCRED | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…e095backed WW Team | 44c | 225.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WW Team | 17c | 218.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed ARCRED | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed ARCRED | 58c | 199.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed ARCRED | 74c | 197.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd095…ad9abacked WW Team | 30c | 196.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked WW Team | 58c | 189.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ARCRED | 67c | 171.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed WW Team | 23c | 170.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb16…b0fbbacked WW Team | 12c | 155.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed WW Team | 34c | 154.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WW Team | 31c | 151.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…9120backed ARCRED | 67c | 150.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked WW Team | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed ARCRED | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked WW Team | 22c | 118.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed WW Team | 24c | 111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed WW Team | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed WW Team | 23c | 107.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked ARCRED | 75c | 101.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…47ffbacked WW Team | 37c | 88.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WW Team | 27c | 85.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed WW Team | 35c | 85.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ARCRED | 64c | 77.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ARCRED | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WW Team | 25c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked WW Team | 28c | 67.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…a355backed ARCRED | 67c | 61.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed ARCRED | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ARCRED | 55c | 55.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed WW Team | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked ARCRED | 72c | 52.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ARCRED | 63c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked WW Team | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ARCRED | 62c | 47.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed ARCRED | 71c | 46.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed WW Team | 57c | 41.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked ARCRED | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…b871backed WW Team | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed WW Team | 32c | 37.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ARCRED | 68c | 36.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed ARCRED | 66c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ARCRED | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ARCRED | 63c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ARCRED | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed ARCRED | 78c | 14.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ARC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)WW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.