Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b22219ac94a2b8947fc2317cd6b1edb43704aef7f480773866ded624898fb93

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nigma Galaxyof Team Nemesis, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved: Dec 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $152,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $176,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3450…6793backed Team Nemesis	62c	9,975$6,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,188.69	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Nigma Galaxy	45c	9,188$4,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,023.28	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Team Nemesis	16c	9,096$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nigma Galaxy	59c	6,724$3,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,786.51	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy	56c	4,361$2,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,908.97	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Nemesis	38c	3,605$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.18	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Nemesis	52c	3,551$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,835.78	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy	63c	3,336$2,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.89	738	41.7%308 W · 430 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Nigma Galaxy	59c	3,024$1,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,239.85	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis	39c	2,691$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.67	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Nigma Galaxy	66c	2,629$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.05	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Nemesis	44c	2,570$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.52	364	42.3%154 W · 210 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy	46c	2,500$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.27	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Nemesis	35c	2,466$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.48	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Nemesis	46c	2,176$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy	49c	1,967$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.46	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy	78c	1,900$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Nemesis	55c	1,802$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis	38c	1,800$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Nigma Galaxy	35c	1,550$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.5	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Nigma Galaxy	70c	1,429$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.57	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nigma Galaxy	62c	1,364$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.71	141	21.3%30 W · 111 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy	78c	1,336$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.28	344	68.9%237 W · 107 L	+26.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Nemesis	28c	1,139$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.7	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy	62c	1,062$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.56	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Nigma Galaxy	63c	1,014$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.32	218	47.2%103 W · 115 L	+16.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Nigma Galaxy	33c	1,000$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Nigma Galaxy	62c	858.03$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Team Nemesis	35c	844.83$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.55	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Nemesis	42c	746.66$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.51	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…3030backed Nigma Galaxy	64c	729$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.44	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Nigma Galaxy	61c	722.7$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.83	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy	63c	707$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.64	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Nemesis	63c	593.44$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nigma Galaxy	54c	582.11$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.75	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Nigma Galaxy	66c	514.71$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Nemesis	42c	513.81$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Nigma Galaxy	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Nemesis	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Team Nemesis	18c	444.22$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.32	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Nigma Galaxy	65c	443.52$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.91	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Nigma Galaxy	68c	441.97$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Team Nemesis	36c	433.97$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.4	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Nigma Galaxy	39c	400$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis	32c	399.62$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.95	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy	65c	375$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.63	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5c…028dbacked Team Nemesis	8c	362.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Nigma Galaxy	51c	335.29$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.07	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Nemesis	31c	333$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.23	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Team Nemesis	32c	328.33$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.57	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Team Nemesis	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed Team Nemesis	57c	313.72$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Team Nemesis	29c	311.26$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.26	122	56.6%69 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Nigma Galaxy	48c	297.26$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.89	203	61.6%125 W · 78 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed Nigma Galaxy	34c	295$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Team Nemesis	31c	269$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Nemesis	43c	266.09$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.2	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Nemesis	44c	265.91$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	173	42.8%74 W · 99 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Team Nemesis	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Nemesis	39c	256.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Team Nemesis	31c	241.94$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8041…1987backed Nigma Galaxy	45c	215.99$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.83	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis	46c	214.8$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.91	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Team Nemesis	38c	213$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.94	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Nemesis	37c	210$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	282	44%124 W · 158 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Team Nemesis	40c	202$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.37	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed Nigma Galaxy	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis	48c	199.06$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.15	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Nigma Galaxy	56c	179.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Nemesis	24c	168$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.13	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Nigma Galaxy	49c	166.26$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.04	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Team Nemesis	53c	162.26$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd718…aa13backed Team Nemesis	39c	159.9$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.36	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-40%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nigma Galaxy	61c	158.08$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.64	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…ef23backed Nigma Galaxy	41c	146.34$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.34	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc393…66f9backed Nigma Galaxy	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Nigma Galaxy	71c	137.37$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Nigma Galaxy	62c	126.55$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.05	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Team Nemesis	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Team Nemesis	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team Nemesis	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Nigma Galaxy	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Team Nemesis	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Nemesis	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	450	52.4%236 W · 214 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nigma Galaxy	69c	95$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90cb…ae5fbacked Team Nemesis	48c	89.58$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc861…63afbacked Nigma Galaxy	60c	83.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…dbb1backed Nigma Galaxy	58c	82.48$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Nigma Galaxy	67c	80$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Team Nemesis	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Nigma Galaxy	47c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.39	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Team Nemesis	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.24per pick	43cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Nigma Galaxy	68c	65$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Nigma Galaxy	57c	61.76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.69	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked Nigma Galaxy	57c	61.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-10.2wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x209f…2370backed Team Nemesis	68c	58.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Team Nemesis	30c	55.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Team Nemesis	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed Nigma Galaxy	35c	55$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.75	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+142.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis	61c	53$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)this page
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event