Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a1a4d89be93c7e89436f7b6370302ed9d4b8dea7b25cb6270ed56ea4ae4d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Tidebound, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa566…0a96backed Team Tidebound | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Tidebound | 29c | 15,131$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.2 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 9,610$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.79 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Tidebound | 23c | 3,914$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 3,810$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.51 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 3,205$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.33 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…4ecabacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,574$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 2,319$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 22c | 1,977$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.07 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,614$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.28 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,519$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.58 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 1,481$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.89 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,347$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.79 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Tidebound | 30c | 1,223$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.34 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Tidebound | 10c | 1,183$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,125$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.27 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…d3dabacked Team Tidebound | 48c | 1,095$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f5dcbacked Team Tidebound | 2c | 1,043$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 934$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.41 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…5a7abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Tidebound | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 746.39$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 729.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 672.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Tidebound | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 578.21$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…4c5dbacked Team Tidebound | 48c | 560$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 533.87$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 19c | 511.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Tidebound | 31c | 489.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 476.87$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.87 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 458.52$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 452.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 407.71$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 372.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a0b3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 340.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…78abbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Team Tidebound | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Tidebound | 44c | 271.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed Team Tidebound | 27c | 261.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 260.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Tidebound | 21c | 253$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 235.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…0b9abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 199.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 183.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Tidebound | 29c | 176.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 170.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 167.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 165.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…b7cfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 138.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 135.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 124.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 110.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Team Tidebound | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…1f2abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 97.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 95.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 90.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Team Tidebound | 29c | 86.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 83.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 82.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Team Tidebound | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 79.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 76.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 73.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 73.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2937…36e7backed Team Tidebound | 51c | 65.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 65.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a64dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 64.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…3612backed Team Tidebound | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.