TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Yakult Brothers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports73c10,788$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.7720159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Yakult Brothers26c9,915$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.2121847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers23c5,478$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.992,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Yakult Brothers20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yakult Brothers25c3,633$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.8417950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Tundra Esports80c3,472$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.326261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Tundra Esports74c2,157$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.6110941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ff…b3f2backed Yakult Brothers7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakult Brothers21c1,506$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1789440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yakult Brothers20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports78c1,406$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.7323465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports74c1,231$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0619147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Tundra Esports78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakult Brothers3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Tundra Esports78c968$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6113346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports78c723.64$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9347660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports80c624.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a1c…c03abacked Yakult Brothers5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports73c518.97$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6354445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Yakult Brothers4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tundra Esports80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Tundra Esports80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10046451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yakult Brothers21c476.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8514251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Yakult Brothers22c458.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Tundra Esports78c454.55$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yakult Brothers22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Yakult Brothers23c431.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yakult Brothers19c399.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Yakult Brothers26c383.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers21c348.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4486949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports75c339.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8531545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers26c330.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yakult Brothers21c327.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.798411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Yakult Brothers15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Tundra Esports77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yakult Brothers21c295.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.489126.4%24 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Tundra Esports76c264.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.983458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Tundra Esports80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Yakult Brothers5c238.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Tundra Esports80c207.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.532763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…e91bbacked Yakult Brothers23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yakult Brothers20c197.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.512020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Yakult Brothers23c195.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.512868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Tundra Esports77c169.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakult Brothers11c167.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5370236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…2c0abacked Tundra Esports80c166.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bd…9dd5backed Yakult Brothers29c139.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5e…1773backed Tundra Esports78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tundra Esports80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Tundra Esports80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Tundra Esports79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Yakult Brothers27c119.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7236442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Tundra Esports74c116.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.669852%51 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Tundra Esports79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.5wins+0.24per pick69cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yakult Brothers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Tundra Esports79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed Tundra Esports80c94.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8420735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ae2…356bbacked Tundra Esports75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.333250%16 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked Yakult Brothers22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020339.9%81 W · 122 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Tundra Esports78c90.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yakult Brothers21c85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Yakult Brothers27c74.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.173444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakult Brothers21c73.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.516169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers22c72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Tundra Esports80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Tundra Esports77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.113450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Yakult Brothers23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Tundra Esports79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.299478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4924…92a9backed Tundra Esports80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yakult Brothers22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Yakult Brothers18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.824026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4160…ade4backed Tundra Esports79c55.18$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33da…f818backed Tundra Esports79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.635655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Tundra Esports79c50.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.535777.2%44 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Tundra Esports78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a73…9daabacked Tundra Esports80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102875%21 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Yakult Brothers26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports75c43.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.755078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Tundra Esports75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039351.1%201 W · 192 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yakult Brothers26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Tundra Esports77c38.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.857159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Tundra Esports80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.55874.1%43 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Tundra Esports80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2510770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Tundra Esports79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614668.5%100 W · 46 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9904…c9b1backed Tundra Esports79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4283…b5dabacked Tundra Esports79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324678.3%36 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0186…40edbacked Tundra Esports80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Tundra Esports80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55972.9%43 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa092…f64ebacked Tundra Esports80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tundra Esports77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.611855.1%65 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ae…df55backed Tundra Esports73c15.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ae…c34fbacked Tundra Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64c2…d0afbacked Tundra Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Tundra Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2209…aa48backed Tundra Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2148…d0a7backed Tundra Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.