Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4e643a52b8e9c2373ad11da8b9a163305785ea45f7dd2b7a6f0d9c4f22672e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 26c | 7,122$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.74 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons | 75c | 5,740$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.41 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 28c | 5,465$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.74 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8449backed Team Falcons | 74c | 5,186$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed OG | 25c | 3,846$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.51 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 18c | 3,612$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Falcons | 73c | 3,386$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.82 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Team Falcons | 74c | 3,261$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked OG | 23c | 3,113$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.24 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked OG | 19c | 2,925$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.62 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 2,662$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed OG | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,800$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.83 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2db4backed OG | 20c | 1,651$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked OG | 2c | 1,562$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked OG | 19c | 1,392$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed OG | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…5c2cbacked OG | 28c | 1,290$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed OG | 26c | 1,212$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 23c | 1,204$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed OG | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed OG | 8c | 1,200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 24c | 1,156$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed OG | 1c | 1,105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…4b3ebacked OG | 28c | 1,078$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked OG | 28c | 980$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…a1c8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 960$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…de5bbacked OG | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…f266backed Team Falcons | 72c | 777$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ab…88f1backed OG | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…1124backed Team Falcons | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed OG | 12c | 699.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…d3dabacked Team Falcons | 72c | 640$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…b502backed Team Falcons | 72c | 610$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed OG | 28c | 603$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed OG | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked OG | 26c | 586.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 26c | 578.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 25c | 549.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5de…dcebbacked OG | 28c | 539$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…c052backed Team Falcons | 72c | 528$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…60cdbacked OG | 28c | 513$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed OG | 4c | 510$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed OG | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed OG | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 10c | 489$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…34b7backed OG | 28c | 480$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…f7c5backed OG | 28c | 478$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 15c | 476.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Falcons | 73c | 438.36$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked OG | 28c | 433.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed OG | 25c | 432.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Falcons | 78c | 412.87$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked OG | 7c | 388.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…774fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 370$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…79c9backed OG | 28c | 358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked OG | 29c | 352$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked OG | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…cdffbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…df1abacked OG | 28c | 343$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…d483backed Team Falcons | 72c | 341$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…4468backed Team Falcons | 72c | 335$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…9fbbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 330$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 326.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…553dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 305$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 301$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed OG | 27c | 300.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked OG | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed OG | 32c | 291.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked OG | 5c | 290$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed OG | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked OG | 24c | 271.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…a2fbbacked OG | 19c | 270$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…c231backed Team Falcons | 72c | 269$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Falcons | 76c | 265.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…ed50backed Team Falcons | 72c | 264$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Team Falcons | 75c | 249.27$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed Team Falcons | 72c | 248$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 21c | 239.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed OG | 25c | 239.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed Team Falcons | 72c | 234$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked OG | 17c | 216.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…5694backed Team Falcons | 72c | 215$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 213.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked OG | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fb…b4a6backed OG | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 24cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…721fbacked OG | 14c | 199.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked OG | 26c | 193.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c4…9736backed Team Falcons | 72c | 188$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…e081backed Team Falcons | 72c | 172$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed Team Falcons | 74c | 167.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…4678backed Team Falcons | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe070…593cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed OG | 24c | 154.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.