Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a393d6ce52eff75c4f1e00a71b5321e7b5180ee7cc3c7aa638a32de28c59d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 2,969$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 2,781$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 22c | 2,432$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,344$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.06 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Yakult Brothers | 9c | 1,945$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,720$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.78 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,399$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,367$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yakult Brothers | 73c | 1,159$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 1,007$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 928.54$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 900$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 820.38$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 816.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 597.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 593.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 515$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakult Brothers | 11c | 476.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Yakult Brothers | 13c | 456.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 449.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 436.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 431.77$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 409$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 400.04$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 382.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 377.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 358.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 295.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 212$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 200.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yakult Brothers | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 197.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 167.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 146.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 142.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 139$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 138.81$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 125.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 125$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 97.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 95.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 92.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 90.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 88.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 82.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 69.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 69.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 67.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 62.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 59.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab83…0294backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 59.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 49.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…be0bbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 48.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 43.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 42.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 42.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 40.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…a0efbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c9b1backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 15.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.