Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f484c955042c4885f0c2a93a6da732c8ce25162c0523e8429a6b901647d973e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 4,761$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.33 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 4,058$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.08 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 1,528$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 71c | 903.91$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 38c | 840$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 630.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 39c | 513.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 464.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.57 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 446.88$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 395.32$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 346.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 72c | 299.94$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 290$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 39c | 287.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…16b1backed Yes | 70c | 266.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 38c | 261.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 244.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 199.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 53c | 190.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 33c | 170.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 142$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 75c | 140.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Yes | 70c | 127.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 38c | 127$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 122.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 39c | 87.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…8988backed Yes | 75c | 77.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 76.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 67c | 65.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 25c | 61.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Yes | 69c | 50.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…24abbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked No | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100e…cc8fbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e86…5c9ebacked Yes | 70c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…6083backed Yes | 70c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.