Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Bowling Green Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26cb3d35aed0bb2384b421a961d135b78e49dacb8d95991b3dd3b3001a79f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Bucknell Bison, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Bucknell Bison | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bowling Green Falcons | 79c | 1,244$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.31 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Bucknell Bison | 22c | 1,227$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucknell Bison | 18c | 999.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bucknell Bison | 21c | 440$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Bucknell Bison | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bucknell Bison | 24c | 199.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…4dc7backed Bucknell Bison | 9c | 146.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Bucknell Bison | 14c | 120.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Bucknell Bison | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…0ac4backed Bucknell Bison | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Bucknell Bison | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked Bucknell Bison | 25c | 42.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 42.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…3d04backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1d…1d22backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8505backed Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.