Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Execration (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2baf81180ac7c83661d3051d2ea523eeeb3ca148117f2c915e7933209be9cd1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Execration | 37c | 11,680$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.99 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 63c | 8,368$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.94 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Execration | 3c | 7,935$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Execration | 39c | 7,636$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.48 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Execration | 20c | 6,964$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed OG | 75c | 5,026$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.74 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Execration | 31c | 3,818$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.63 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Execration | 26c | 3,504$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.62 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed OG | 66c | 3,457$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.22 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed OG | 70c | 3,305$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.49 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Execration | 29c | 3,099$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Execration | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked OG | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Execration | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked OG | 75c | 1,363$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.85 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG | 74c | 1,289$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.58 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Execration | 27c | 1,134$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed OG | 71c | 1,100$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.68 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 69c | 894.24$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked OG | 72c | 833.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Execration | 26c | 812.45$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed OG | 79c | 600$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed OG | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Execration | 32c | 489.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed OG | 64c | 468.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed OG | 69c | 466.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Execration | 67c | 465.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.13 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed OG | 78c | 434.37$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked OG | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Execration | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Execration | 18c | 393.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked OG | 68c | 383.21$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked OG | 63c | 326.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Execration | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Execration | 31c | 300.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed OG | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…b3c4backed OG | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fa…8096backed Execration | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed Execration | 23c | 298.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Execration | 32c | 296.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed OG | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked OG | 71c | 278.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 69c | 267.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed OG | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked OG | 67c | 215.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Execration | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Execration | 24c | 178.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked OG | 64c | 177.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked OG | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed OG | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed OG | 63c | 155.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked OG | 76c | 152.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Execration | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed OG | 69c | 145.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed OG | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Execration | 31c | 128.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked OG | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…7c14backed OG | 69c | 123.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked OG | 77c | 116.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…b242backed OG | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed OG | 80c | 102.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Execration | 21c | 102.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 58c | 101.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed Execration | 25c | 101.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Execration | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Execration | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Execration | 20c | 94.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Execration | 31c | 87.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Execration | 34c | 85.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Execration | 23c | 84.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked OG | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed OG | 69c | 79.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed OG | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Execration | 18c | 68.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…ddfcbacked OG | 80c | 66.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked OG | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed OG | 66c | 57.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 62c | 53.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked OG | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…96f1backed OG | 68c | 48.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed OG | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…881abacked OG | 63c | 45.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Execration | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Execration | 33c | 39.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Execration | 27c | 37.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed OG | 67c | 37.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed OG | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c20…e02dbacked OG | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked OG | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked OG | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed OG | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…1facbacked OG | 65c | 27.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…b34abacked OG | 69c | 26.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…d9f7backed OG | 68c | 23.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked OG | 60c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked OG | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…721fbacked OG | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.