Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Tearlaments (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11f6163943de3efee0f50149613b0b9348dd45124d4b10307d8825848eb9c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tearlamentsof Team Tidebound, Tearlaments
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tearlaments | 65c | 2,397$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.55 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Tidebound | 73c | 1,560$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.79 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 1,141$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.54 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Tearlaments | 27c | 1,126$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.24 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Tidebound | 21c | 1,048$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Tidebound | 18c | 1,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Tearlaments | 52c | 943.34$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.58 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Tearlaments | 27c | 928.53$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.83 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Tearlaments | 6c | 876.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.58 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 54c | 820.86$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tearlaments | 32c | 773.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Tidebound | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tearlaments | 42c | 533.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.9 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Team Tidebound | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Tearlaments | 27c | 499.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.81 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Tearlaments | 39c | 497.79$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.64 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Tearlaments | 63c | 476.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Tidebound | 20c | 378.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tearlaments | 25c | 340.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Tidebound | 73c | 301.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Team Tidebound | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Tearlaments | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tearlaments | 32c | 249.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Tearlaments | 33c | 238.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tearlaments | 27c | 225.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Tidebound | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Tearlaments | 30c | 193$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Tidebound | 52c | 192.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 154.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tearlaments | 49c | 147.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Tearlaments | 35c | 118.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Tearlaments | 30c | 117$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Team Tidebound | 10c | 114.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tearlaments | 36c | 110.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 103.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 101.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Tearlaments | 27c | 77.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 77.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Tearlaments | 17c | 61.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Tidebound | 47c | 58.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Tearlaments | 39c | 45.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked Team Tidebound | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Tearlaments | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Tidebound | 73c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Team Tidebound | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Tidebound | 67c | 29.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.