Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412c4d02c750f6b4d4c6336454ab9e4bbd1c028ec9f03e6634baa332f067e512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 35c | 1,974$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.15 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 1,299$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.82 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 40c | 1,129$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.61 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 1,025$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 674.53$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 665.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 63c | 479.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 64c | 362.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 63c | 316.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 35c | 271.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes | 62c | 232.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 64c | 203.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 50c | 184.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 64c | 170.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Yes | 60c | 159.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…bb35backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 145.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…aebebacked Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 38c | 126.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 117.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 68c | 88.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…3678backed Yes | 63c | 85.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 59c | 83.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Yes | 64c | 75.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 200 | 56%112 W · 88 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 36c | 71.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 67c | 68.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…369dbacked Yes | 64c | 63.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…3b66backed Yes | 64c | 63.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 33c | 61.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…a2a8backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…8c2dbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…bc1abacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…f7a7backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…e6a2backed Yes | 61c | 27.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…2decbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…38fabacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…0a16backed Yes | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…3b43backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…147bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…69b8backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…5c47backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…7319backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye to score first vs. Australia?this page
- Australia to score first vs. Türkiye?Yes won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.