TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Benfica vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes52c7,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,65023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes56c4,918$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.5530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked No43c4,511$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked No45c4,490$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No48c2,950$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.359159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No44c2,933$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.437548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No42c2,685$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.0629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes55c2,400$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked No45c2,163$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.38757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes1c1,519$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1911132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9725…2365backed No79c1,298$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes22c1,203$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes58c1,090$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.592626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No41c1,044$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.724738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c1,037$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.968720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Yes59c969.79$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No47c767.45$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.727625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes55c749.25$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d4…ab32backed Yes9c732.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785b…c51dbacked Yes20c667.09$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.421233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9780…0383backed Yes47c640$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…1194backed Yes47c630$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6d…4252backed No53c560$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165a…5b10backed No53c555$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes58c541.38$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes57c481.34$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7216447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2716…71a3backed No53c440$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked No49c400$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20321938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes57c400$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2297742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No42c399.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9924742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No43c374.17$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4117348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadae…705fbacked Yes59c366.49$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes49c339$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.112231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked No59c335.51$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.564858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No44c328.45$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.365038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No61c327.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.94564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes53c308.37$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes15c295$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00bc…58c1backed Yes47c255$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No42c233.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.729540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes54c228.82$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6620667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes46c217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8212354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes19c211$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807e…c3f9backed Yes49c204.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fc3…48d8backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No55c196.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.364231%13 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc47c…b1babacked No53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c8…23d8backed No53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No42c171.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.582853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e4…df0fbacked Yes47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2833…4083backed Yes49c154.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…c763backed No45c110.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes53c108.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7113333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548240.2%33 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8965…fda0backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Yes53c99.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No42c99.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.217950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed No43c88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed No43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.47042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x565a…a8f2backed No53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9be…57f4backed No53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes56c72.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed No50c72.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8be4…58d9backed Yes42c68.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes54c64.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.998353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c2…c378backed No54c60.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d37…f9b4backed Yes47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4788…05a0backed Yes47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ab…6b01backed No67c59.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a2…e37cbacked Yes58c55.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2819344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x132e…427cbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcf…60d5backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked No54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.166376.2%48 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed No49c40.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.686123%14 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5fc…1573backed Yes47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x825b…385abacked Yes47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea8…57d7backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…869cbacked Yes54c24.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Yes56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4428357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes55c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2218758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9229034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63554.3%19 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.